Flood Watch: NWS advises caution as a tropical storm threat moves through Ocala

Saga CommunicationsHeavy rains are in the Ocala's forecast as a tropical disturbance moves through the area.

Ocala FL. (352 Today) – A tropical disturbance, originally located off Florida’s Atlantic coast, is tracking across northeastern Florida and is expected to pass near Ocala. As of 2 PM EDT today, NOAA satellite and radar data confirm disorganized but persistent thunderstorm activity over the region.

The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued a Flood Watch for Ocala and surrounding Marion County, effective until 8 PM EDT, citing possible heavy downpours and flash flooding.

Storm Impact & Forecast

  • Heavy Rain & Flood Risk: Flood Watch remains until 8 PM. Locally intense bursts of rain may trigger flash floods in urban and low-lying areas .
  • Ongoing Storm Activity: Showers and storms are prevalent this afternoon, diminishing overnight.
  • Storm Development Potential: NOAA’s National Hurricane Center (NHC) indicates that once the system moves into the northeastern Gulf by Wednesday, it has a 40% chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next 48 hours, and the same probability through the next 7 days.
  • Extended Rain Chances: The 7‑day outlook foresees showers and thunderstorms resuming through the weekend, with daily precipitation chances of 50–90%.

What This Means for Ocala Residents

  1. Stay alert during peak storm hours: Afternoon through early evening storms could produce heavy rain and flash flooding.
  2. Avoid flooded roads: Even shallow water poses risks, “Turn Around, Don’t Drown.”
  3. Monitor official updates: Follow alerts from NOAA’s Jacksonville office and local emergency management.
  4. Prepare for potential storm intensification: If the system strengthens, impacts could extend into the Gulf Coast later this week.

WEATHER UPDATE: For daily and hourly updates, check out 352 Today’s weather page.